View Full Version : Global Warming: Is humanity screwed?
Girl Drink Drunk
Jun 4th, 2007, 10:33 PM
Or will countrys like Canada and the US eventually be pushed (amongst other countrys)towards competence, and make an actuall effort to cut down on pollution signicantly? What do you think? I know this isnt probably the most well-crafted thread in this section, and I know I am paranoid, but I could really use some positive comments right now:\
Grislygus
Jun 4th, 2007, 10:37 PM
Yeah, we're gonna avert the apocalypse with carbon credits.
ItalianStereotype
Jun 5th, 2007, 01:08 AM
I find it telling that Mars is going through many of the same ozone issues that we ourselves are.
I also don't like it when kevin lets you post in here, sniper.
kahljorn
Jun 5th, 2007, 02:09 AM
I actually posted something about other planets atmosphere in one of the threads kevin deleted because of that grave digger guy...
Venus has an extremely thick atmosphere (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Celestial_body_atmosphere), which consists mainly of carbon dioxide (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide) and a small amount of nitrogen (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nitrogen). The pressure at the planet's surface is about 90 times that at Earth's surface—a pressure equivalent to that at a depth of 1 kilometer under Earth's oceans (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ocean). The enormously CO2-rich atmosphere generates a strong greenhouse effect (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_effect) that raises the surface temperature to over 400 °C (752°F). This makes Venus' surface hotter than Mercury (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercury_%28planet%29)'s, even though Venus is nearly twice as distant from the Sun and receives only 25% of the solar irradiance (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irradiance).
Studies have suggested that several billion years ago Venus' atmosphere was much more like Earth's than it is now, and that there were probably substantial quantities of liquid water on the surface, but a runaway greenhouse effect was caused by the evaporation of that original water, which generated a critical level of greenhouse gases in its atmosphere.[13] (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venus#_note-9) Venus is thus an extreme example of climate change (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change), making it a useful tool in climate change studies.
Thermal inertia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_inertia) and the transfer of heat by winds in the lower atmosphere mean that the temperature of Venus' surface does not vary significantly between the night and day sides, despite the planet's extremely slow rotation. Winds at the surface are slow, moving at a few kilometers per hour, but because of the high density of the atmosphere at Venus' surface, they exert a significant amount of force against obstructions, and transport dust and small stones across the surface.[14] (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venus#_note-10) Above the dense CO2 layer are thick clouds consisting mainly of sulfur dioxide (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sulfur_dioxide) and sulfuric acid (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sulfuric_acid) droplets. [15] (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venus#_note-11)[16] (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venus#_note-12) These clouds reflect about 60% of the sunlight that falls on them back into space, and prevent the direct observation of Venus' surface in visible light (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Visible_light). The permanent cloud cover means that although Venus is closer than Earth to the Sun, the Venusian surface is not as well heated or lit. In the absence of the greenhouse effect caused by the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the temperature at the surface of Venus would be quite similar to that on Earth. Strong 300 km/h winds at the cloud tops circle the planet about every four to five earth days.[17] (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venus#_note-13)
mburbank
Jun 5th, 2007, 09:18 AM
Depends on what you mean by screwed.
I think things will change a LOT, but will the big changes be my generation, my kids? The models I look at suggest that even if we got very serious on a global scale about reducing greenhouse gasses right now, (and I hardly see that happening) we are looking at some pretty significant climate rearaanging in the next couple hundred years. On a human scale it will be very dramatic, and humans tend to get very violent when things change. No have spies likes getting their hive shoved around.
The planet, however, is very resiliant. Earths original brand of oragnic life altered earths climate before, killing themselves off and creating mass extinctions. Given a several million years, earth bounced back.
Humans are similarly resourceful. I don't not think the climate change we've set in motion will do anything like reducing us to the very small gene pool the last major ice age did, and as a species we made a complete recovery from that.
Perndog
Jun 5th, 2007, 03:09 PM
"No have spies likes getting their hive shoved around." - Max Burbank, 45, taking his first step over the edge into senility.
Fathom Zero
Jun 5th, 2007, 09:56 PM
I question the validity of global warming, at least immediately, (i.e. within a few hundred years or so.) Everything is supposed to be bad for the atmosphere and the ozone layer to the point that nothing is good and it's only prolonging the inevitable "cleansing", (for lack of a better word), of the planet. I believe that global warming is a natural process that the planet goes through, like a sauna. That might sound like bullshit to you guys; but I believe it, nonetheless.
In answer to your question, though, yes. The U.S. and Canada will be bullied into the green lifestyle because of fear tactics and disinformation. Clean living is trendy.
But those are just my two cents. Take 'em for what you will.
kahljorn
Jun 5th, 2007, 10:57 PM
Global warming and cooling is historically considered a fact. Whether or not humans can influence it, however, is as far as I know not a "fact."
Sethomas
Jun 6th, 2007, 01:06 AM
No, it's just a belief that the most recent international committee on the subject deemed to have 95% certainty.
kahljorn
Jun 6th, 2007, 01:56 AM
Although there are things to suggest that high levels of c02 in the atmosphere causes a "Greenhouse effect," right?
mburbank
Jun 6th, 2007, 09:32 AM
"No have spies likes getting their hive shoved around."
WOW! That's my best one. I cannot even imagine how that one came out my fingers. I must have had a stroke.
Would you believe, in my head, that sentence read:
"No hive species likes getting their hive shoved around"
Perndog
Jun 6th, 2007, 10:59 AM
No, it's just a belief that the most recent international committee on the subject deemed to have 95% certainty.
The Ptolemaic system used to be believed internationally with better than 95% certainty. More recently, it was believed with better than 95% certainty that human flight was impossible. The scientific establishment, in this time no less than in any other, is not infallible to the point where you can blithely use its consensus to end an argument.
Preechr
Jun 6th, 2007, 02:50 PM
Lol... Global Warming is SO yesterday...
CO2 is a byproduct of the natural global heating process, not the cause. "Consensus" has no place in scientific discussion, especially when it is invoked to stop debate and discovery. The Global Warming "debate" was specifically designed to be just that, an unending point of contention existing only for political purposes, and so joins the ranks of other non-issues like abortion, drugs and immigration. Just like them, it is used to divide and conquer, stripping whomever it can of rights and freedoms.
You want consensus? NOBODY is in favor of pollution. That is not at all what "Global Warming" is about. The main victim of real pollution is decidedly not air or thermometers. It is WATER. Salmonella Spinache, Mad Cow, Bird Flu, West Nile... these are all problems related to water, not SUVs. Plagues are popping up all over the world because people lack access to potable water, not because they are driving Escalades.
The goal of the Global Warming Brigades is to slow, stop and maybe even retard economic growth worldwide, which runs contrary to solving global water problems. As local economies increase around the world, so does access to water, medicine, education and every other thing that actually improves quality of life. Global Warming is not about that. It is specifically about killing people and making life worse for everybody.
kahljorn
Jun 6th, 2007, 07:23 PM
Venus has an extremely thick atmosphere (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Celestial_body_atmosphere), which consists mainly of carbon dioxide (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide) and a small amount of nitrogen (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nitrogen). The pressure at the planet's surface is about 90 times that at Earth's surface—a pressure equivalent to that at a depth of 1 kilometer under Earth's oceans (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ocean). The enormously CO2-rich atmosphere generates a strong greenhouse effect (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_effect) that raises the surface temperature to over 400 °C (752°F). This makes Venus' surface hotter than Mercury (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercury_%28planet%29)'s, even though Venus is nearly twice as distant from the Sun and receives only 25% of the solar irradiance (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irradiance).
maybe that is a partial source, but what do you think about it, preechr?
Esuohlim
Jun 6th, 2007, 10:12 PM
My meager understanding of Global Warming:
1: Between the '40s and the '70s the world was afraid of future rapid Global Cooling.
2: If anyone's to blame for contributing to Global Warming, point fingers at cattle. Cows are worse than us, if we're even considered bad at all.
I'm not worried. I don't care about the environment anyway, for one thing, but the Earth has been through a lot during its existence and I think it's arrogant to think that we humans alone can ruin the Earth like this. I'm more concerned about the asteroid that's supposed to come disturbingly close to us on April 13, 2029 than Global Warming.
kahljorn
Jun 6th, 2007, 10:33 PM
The only reason why there are enough cows to supposedly affect the environment is because of human beings who grow them in mass quantities. Otherwise there would be an ecological balance.
THATS WHY WE SHOULD ALL BE vegeTARIANS
Esuohlim
Jun 7th, 2007, 12:20 AM
No way man don't take away my hamburgers :(
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 12:36 AM
Cows also cosume more food than they produce when we eat them :O
but as a counter-point to that SOME cows eat foods that humans can't eat.
also, meat tastes really good ;O
Sethomas
Jun 7th, 2007, 01:06 AM
While I do agree that presentism is an anthropological constant in the history of humanity, Perny doggy, one differing factor between science being wrong about geocentrism, aether, flight, spontaneous generation, whatever else you want to throw out, is that we didn't really have vested interest in any of them in the same sense that global warming has a high likelihood of causing economic and humanitarian devastation. We'll only know if we're right in hindsight, but increased CO2 emissions are directly associated with climate change and we are experiencing both. If we're wrong, we waste a little money. If we're right, then we're fucked. So this "science has been wrong and will probably be wrong again" thing is retarded.
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 01:54 AM
lol :(
RaNkeri
Jun 7th, 2007, 07:43 AM
I remember reading an article which stated that if the amount of CO2 keeps increasing at the same level it has increased so far, life on earth will be quite hellish(if not impossible) somewhere around year 2200.
Perndog
Jun 7th, 2007, 12:24 PM
I think more than a little money is being wasted, and to be clear, I don't think human activity is an important factor in climate change, nor do I think that Venus used to be an Earthlike planet that became extremely hot due to the greenhouse effect, and I think that politics within science are pushing people very forcefully to whatever will pull in more money, effective results be damned, especially in this case because it's so well publicized. Mr. Milhouse's point that people used to be worried about global cooling is overlooked way too frequently.
But Preechr has quite a bit more vitriol than I do on this topic, and it sounds like he's got mostly the same opinion. I'm really not concerned, and I don't care to argue about it.
Fathom Zero
Jun 7th, 2007, 01:47 PM
Science is being molested by politics and it's been brought upon the scientific community that you're either for the Earth or you're not so they've gotta pick sides before they release journals and studies and all objectivity is lost in the process. It's a damn shame that loaded questions like that go unchecked, but no one is against the destruction of Earth. Nobody with a public face, at any rate. So they let it go.
All of this doesn't even take into account that "green" products are bringing in billions of dollars a year from low emissions vehicles and recycled toilet paper. I don't particularly see recycling as unuseful, but it probably serves little purpose aside from saving a seagull or two from choking to death on a plastic bag or Coke rings.
Sethomas
Jun 7th, 2007, 05:05 PM
So, Democrats pushing Green solutions is political, but Republicans kicking and screaming against it isn't? Nice.
Fathom Zero
Jun 7th, 2007, 05:47 PM
That's not really what I was trying to convey.
What I was saying was that all politicians are using politics to affect the scientific community. What they're trying to push for in the issue of global warming is irrelevant because all it's going to amount to is a lot of hot air and wasted money.
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 05:59 PM
They don't know if Venus was an Earth-like planet, for sure. That's not even the point, you jackass.
The point is that venus is the hottest planet in the solar system because heat can't escape it (you might've learned that in elementary school, I know I did) and that the reason heat can't escape it is because it has a c02 rich environment.
"I'm really not concerned, and I don't care to argue about it."
Then maybe you should, uh i dont know, shut the fuck up?
why do people like you even talk? Satanists are so retarded. IM GOING TO INSERT my oPINION BUT DONT gET CONFUSED. IM TOO SMUG TOO CARE. AND I SMOKE EXPENSIVE CIGARS OUT OF A PIPE. CAUSE THAT S SAUVE. I"M SOPHISTAFUNK.
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 06:04 PM
They don't know if Venus was an Earth-like planet, for sure. That's not even the point, you jackass.
The point is that venus is the hottest planet in the solar system because heat can't escape it (you might've learned that in elementary school, I know I did) and that the reason heat can't escape it is because it has a c02 rich environment.
"I'm really not concerned, and I don't care to argue about it."
Then maybe you should, uh i dont know, shut the fuck up?
why do people like you even talk? Satanists are so retarded. IM GOING TO INSERT my oPINION BUT DONT gET CONFUSED. IM TOO SMUG TOO CARE. AND I SMOKE EXPENSIVE CIGARS OUT OF A PIPE. CAUSE THAT S SAUVE. I"M SOPHISTAFUNK.
Perndog
Jun 7th, 2007, 06:23 PM
These are the I-Mockery Forums. Random jabbering is what people do here. If I feel like saying something, I will.
Chris, do you have some sort of lingering grudge against me, or are you on my case because you just don't have anything better to do?
Perndog
Jun 7th, 2007, 06:25 PM
Oh, and I learned a lot of things in elementary school that turned out not to be true. Try another angle.
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 06:26 PM
Well, it's the i-mockery philosophy forums. Making fun of stupidity and showing why it's stupid is kind of what we do here.
i dont have a grudge or anything dude i just disagree with you/think you're acting ridiculous.
Preechr won't respond to any of these threads, he gets too frustrated when he gets in arguments ;o [/taunt]
Perndog
Jun 7th, 2007, 07:13 PM
I'm glad we cleared that up. The Internet is the best place to act ridiculous, you know. In real life, of course, I'm too busy being dark and scary to do things like this.
Want me to start a new thread about how AIDS isn't caused by a virus and doctors are killing people by giving them drugs for HIV? I'm sure you'd love that.
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 07:34 PM
it's not like i mentioned that you learned it in elementary school as the FACT OF THE MATTER
the "fact of the matter" was already stated. It doesn't need an "ANGLE."
How the hell would angles make something more valid?
IF I SAY THIS FACT IN THIS WAY SOMEONE WILL THINK ITS BULLSHIT
BUT IF I ANGLE THIS FALSITY IN A GOOD WAY THEN IT WILL BE TRUE
ANGLES MAKE THIngS TRUE OR FALSE
you act like an annoying mystical magic moon fairy. "SCIENCE? SCIENCE HAS BEEN PROVEN WRONG BEFORE. YOUR IDEAS ARE SHIT." "ELEMENTARY SCHOOL? ELEMENTARY SCHOOL HAS BEEN PROVEN WROng befoRE. YOUR IDEA IS SHIT."
irrelevant.
I know all I have to do is say that it is OFFICIALLY ENDORSED BY THE CHURCH OF SATAN AND EGOS EVERYWHERE! and the vampire bible approves of it 100%!!! If you read and accept this theory, you will have eternal life. Fact.
Perndog
Jun 7th, 2007, 07:58 PM
The point is that I think these things are incorrect, but the only justifications given for them in this thread are "everyone says it's true", and like you just said,
venus is the hottest planet in the solar system because heat can't escape it (you might've learned that in elementary school, I know I did) and that the reason heat can't escape it is because it has a c02 rich environment
You said "I learned this in elementary school" like that makes it the most obvious thing in the world and only a moron would disagree. You didn't offer any other explanation. So I argued with the only bit of reasoning you gave me. If you want me to respond better than that, like I said, give me a better "angle" meaning argue in a different manner why what you say is true. Give me some compelling scientific explanation rather than telling me that there's some consensus on the issue or that any schoolchild knows it's true, and I'll respond to that.
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 08:52 PM
Uhh, I put it in parenthesis. Usually when people do that it means it's an ASIDE or just extra information.
I already posted the "Science."
http://solarsystem.nasa.gov/planets/profile.cfm?Object=Venus
http://csep10.phys.utk.edu/astr161/lect/venus/greenhouse.html
http://www.ucar.edu/learn/1_3_1.htm
http://zebu.uoregon.edu/~soper/Venus/greenhouse.html
http://ircamera.as.arizona.edu/NatSci102/lectures/venus.htm
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 09:16 PM
like i said, the point was that venus has a c02 rich atmosphere and it's also the hottest planet in the solar system.
Try responding to that instead of responding with douchebaggery and picking on irrelevant topics.
Perndog
Jun 7th, 2007, 09:45 PM
Alright. I just realized that this is just going to turn into a dick-waving link exchange because this is all science and no philosophy and we're not actually scientists. But I'll play one round at least. Here are the people I agree with on this issue:
http://www.holoscience.com/news.php?article=3jewx05w
http://www.holoscience.com/news.php?article=8gfbewe7
kahljorn
Jun 7th, 2007, 11:12 PM
*sigh*
You're so stupid it's depressing, perndog. I wasn't trying to have some link war. You asked for an "ANGLE."
I didn't give a damn about the angle. You did. I didn't want to have to post 30 million links. I just wanted to post an idea and get a response to it, that's all. OK? OK? IS THAT HARD TO UNDERSTAND OR IS IT NOT GETTING INTO YOUR RETARDED FACE? IF YOU ACT LIKE THIS IN THE FUTURE ILL JUST IGNORE YOU BECAUSE I HOLD YOU TO HIGHER STANDARDS THAN RANDOM MORONS AND I EXPECT YOU TO FULFILL MY FUCKING STANDARDS MOTHERFUCKER.
I'll read your links, though.
"Holoscience" sounds like a science skepticism website, though.
kahljorn
Jun 8th, 2007, 12:38 AM
Well, that was an interesting read, and it actually answered my question, by providing an alternative, which was, I thought, very productive. I thought that they reamed people for thinking, "VENUS AND THE EARTH ARE NOT TWINS" for so long to be extremely annoying, though. i never thought that personally and I can't see how anybody could take it literally.
That website did seem to concede that c02 can have an effect on the environment, they said it would be minor though. Maybe they just said that as a uh... rhetorical statement, though.
My next questions would be:
Preechr already brought up water pollution. What about ozone depletion? IS THERE SCIENTIFIC VALIDITY OR INVALIDITY?
Perndog
Jun 8th, 2007, 08:22 AM
Sorry, I know it didn't need to be just a link exchange and I wanted to give you the gist of the argument from that source, but I had to leave home and didn't have enough time to write more.
I'm not sure about ozone depletion, but I already try not to get too much direct sunlight since my dad got cancer on his face twice. Maybe I'll look into the science on that one later. I've heard things like "the carbon dioxide accumulation makes up for the thinning ozone," "the fact that an ozone hole opened over the South Pole, where there are no people, suggests that human activity isn't the cause," and "oh shit we're all going to die." I don't know which is accurate.
Esuohlim
Jun 8th, 2007, 01:35 PM
I like the "the ozone hole over the south pole acts as an iris that dilates and contracts in order for the environment to fix its own problem" theory because, once again, it cuts me out of the equation and I don't have to worry about anything :picklehat
Sethomas
Jun 8th, 2007, 06:06 PM
From what I've read, the ozone hole actually isn't considered a major factor in global warming by serious environmentalists. It just still sees a lot of attention because it's easily quantified, which makes it scary, and conservatives can use the fact that it is arguably innocuous to create a strawman argument.
kahljorn
Jun 8th, 2007, 08:52 PM
I didn't really mean it as far as it contributes to global warming. I just mean does it exist and is it negative. That's why I brought it up in the same sentence as water pollution ;o
because lots of people like to act like cutting down on pollution would be a waste of money...
Another thing is air pollution. The place where i live almost always has an, "Unhealthy" air quality.
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