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Topic Review (Newest First) |
Sep 7th, 2004 10:38 AM | ||
mburbank |
That sure was a lot of poll data! Thanks! You're my go to guy for poll data now! I live for polls! Say, as long as you're looking at all these polls for us libs, if you find a nice one about ten foot long, can you save it for me so I can have something I wouldn't touch you with? |
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Sep 6th, 2004 01:48 AM | ||
Anonymous |
He's been posting polls at least once a month since the start of this year, provided the numbers support Bush. But it's totally an FYI sort of thing. No cheerleading going on or anything. |
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Sep 5th, 2004 03:01 PM | ||
hawaiian mage |
You used three posts to fit all the methodology in (probably expending a decent amount of effort figuring out where to cut up the paper) becuase you want liberals to see that polls can show results they don't like, NOT becuase you derive satisfaction from the fact that Bush is the one in the lead? That's INSANE. |
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Sep 5th, 2004 02:46 PM | ||
Anonymous |
Quote:
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Sep 5th, 2004 01:01 PM | ||
Spectre X | ||
Sep 5th, 2004 12:36 PM | ||
ScruU2wice | That might have been the worst metaphor ever. | |
Sep 5th, 2004 12:16 PM | ||
Spectre X |
Naldo, shut the fuck up. You're like the kid that goes "Oh look at me I have more ice-cream than you!" but it only looks like it because there's more air underneath it. |
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Sep 5th, 2004 12:00 PM | ||
Ronnie Raygun |
This poll means nothing to me but since liberals live by them I feel the need to post them here in this depraved hive of scum and trickery... Just kidding, I love you guys. |
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Sep 5th, 2004 10:14 AM | ||
Cosmo Electrolux | the polls only matter to Naldo when his candidate is ahead | |
Sep 5th, 2004 10:06 AM | ||
FS | Am I missing something here? Is Ronnie flip-flopping away from his point that polls don't matter again, or is he posting this because he doesn't actually think it matters himself, but 'we liberals' are ALLL about the polls? | |
Sep 5th, 2004 09:15 AM | ||
Miss Modular |
Quote:
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Sep 5th, 2004 08:55 AM | ||
Zhukov |
Phew! That was quite a read. BNFL! |
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Sep 5th, 2004 07:48 AM | ||
Ronnie Raygun |
10. Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for president this year ... (INSERT-READ AND ROTATE 1-7) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Total Rep Dem Ind 7/29-30/04 28 Terrorism and homeland security 50 10 23 21 21 The economy 14 29 19 19 13 Health care, including Medicare 5 22 13 15 11 The situation in Iraq 9 11 15 18 9 American jobs and foreign competition 5 12 10 9 6 Education 3 6 9 6 3 Taxes 4 1 4 4 3 (VOL.-DO NOT READ) Other 3 3 4 4 6 (DO NOT READ) Don't know 7 6 3 4 100 100 100 100 100 11. Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you trust... George W. Bush or John Kerry (ORDER ROTATED) to do a better job handling each of the following issues. (First,) what about... (INSERT ITEM-READ AND RANDOMIZE)? (Which do you trust do to a better job handling this issue ... Bush or Kerry (ORDER ROTATED)?) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Bush Kerry Equal Neither DK (VOL) (VOL) a. The economy Current Total 49 43 1 2 5 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 42 49 1 2 6 =100 (3/18-19/04) 43 47 2 2 6 =100 b. The situation in Iraq Current Total 55 37 1 2 5 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 46 46 1 2 5 =100 (3/18-19/04) 53 38 2 2 5 =100 c. Terrorism and homeland security Current Total 60 32 2 2 4 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 48 43 2 2 5 =100 (3/18-19/04) 56 35 2 1 6 =100 d. Health care, including Medicare Current Total 43 45 2 2 8 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 32 55 2 3 8 =100 (3/18-19/04) 37 53 1 2 7 =100 e. Education Current Total 48 42 2 2 6 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 40 48 2 2 8 =100 (3/18-19/04) 43 46 2 2 7 =100 f. Taxes Current Total 52 38 1 2 7 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 42 48 1 3 6 =100 (3/18-19/04) 45 44 1 3 7 =100 g. American jobs and foreign competition Current Total 45 44 1 3 7 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 36 53 1 2 8 =100 (3/18-19/04) 39 50 1 3 7 =100 h. Foreign policy in general Current Total 54 38 2 1 5 =100 Trend (7/29-30/04) 44 49 1 2 4 =100 i. The environment Current Total 36 50 2 2 10 =100 Trend (7/29-30/04) 29 59 2 2 8 =100 j. Gay marriage Current Total 44 36 1 6 13 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 46 33 1 5 15 =100 (2/5-6/04) 38 29 2 5 26 =100 Note: Trend results for item j are based on slightly different question wording: "Which presidential candidate comes closer to reflecting your own views on the issue of gay marriage?" Questions 12 and 13 were asked in random order 12. Has what you've seen or heard about George W. Bush's military service record in the National Guard at the time of the Vietnam War made you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, or has it not had much effect either way? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Current Military HH Non-Military HH 7/29-30/04 5 More likely 6 5 5 17 Less likely 16 18 22 75 Not much effect 75 74 70 1 Haven't heard about /Not aware of (VOL.) 1 1 2 2 Don't know 2 2 1 100 100 100 100 13. Has what you've seen or heard about John Kerry's military service record in the Vietnam War made you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, or has it not had much effect either way? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Current Military HH Non-Military HH 7/29-30/04 15 More likely 15 16 27 19 Less likely 26 15 15 62 Not much effect 55 66 55 2 Haven't heard about /Not aware of (VOL.) 1 2 1 2 Don't know 3 1 2 100 100 100 100 14a. Have you seen or heard about the recent TV Ads sponsored by a veterans' group questioning John Kerry's military service record in Vietnam? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS 75 Yes, seen or heard about the ads 24 No 1 Don't know 100 14b. From what you've seen or heard, do you think these ads are generally accurate in what they say about Kerry's military service in Vietnam, or are misleading or distorted? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Current Military HH Non-Military HH 21 Generally accurate 26 19 39 Misleading or distorted 36 40 25 Not aware of ads 21 27 15 Don't know 17 14 100 100 100 14c. Do you think the Bush-Cheney campaign is behind these anti-Kerry ads, or that the ads were produced independently, without the Bush- Cheney campaign's involvement? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Current Military HH Non-Military HH 27 Bush-Cheney campaign behind ads 24 30 38 Produced independently 46 34 26 Not aware of ads 21 27 9 Don't know 9 9 100 100 100 15. On another subject ... All in all, do you think George W. Bush's economic and tax policies have done more to help or hurt economic conditions in this country - or haven't had much effect either way? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Current 7/29-30/04 38 Help 33 38 Hurt 43 19 Not much effect 20 5 Don't know 4 100 100 16. From what you know now, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq last year, or not? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Yes No DK Current Total 55 38 7 =100 Republicans 87 11 2 =100 Democrats 29 61 10 =100 Independents 46 48 6 =100 Trends (5/13-14/04) 51 43 6 =100 (4/8-9/04) 57 39 4 =100 (3/25-26/04) 55 41 4 =100 (3/18-19/04) 57 37 6 =100 (1/29-30/04) 55 39 6 =100 (12/18-19/03) 62 32 6 =100 (11/6-7/03) 55 38 7 =100 (10/23-24/03) 59 34 7 =100 (10/9-10/03) 56 37 7 =100 (9/11-12/03) 64 31 5 =100 (8/21-22/03) 61 33 6 =100 (7/24-25/03) 68 28 4 =100 Note: Trend results are based on total sample. 17. In general, do you think going to war with Iraq has made Americans safer from terrorism, or not? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Yes No DK Current Total 45 50 5 =100 Republicans 75 20 5 =100 Democrats 21 76 3 =100 Independents 38 57 5 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 38 57 5 =100 (1/22-23/04) 44 53 3 =100 18. Do you think Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq was DIRECTLY involved in planning, financing, or carrying out the terrorist attacks of September 11th, 2001, or not? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Yes No DK Current Total 42 44 14 =100 Republicans 55 32 13 =100 Democrats 32 54 14 =100 Independents 37 48 15 =100 Trends (1/29-30/04) 49 39 12 =100 (9/18-19/03) 47 37 16 =100 Note: Trend results are based on total sample. 19. How much, if any, of the Republican Convention did you watch on TV this week ... (READ) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS None Very little Some A great DK of it of it deal Current Total 32 28 24 16 * =100 Trends 2004 Democratic Convention 25 26 29 19 1 =100 2000 Republican Convention 31 28 26 15 * =100 2000 Democratic Convention 25 27 28 18 2 =100 1996 Republican Convention 27 29 26 17 1 =100 1992 Republican Convention 16 29 33 22 0 =100 1988 Republican Convention 17 26 27 30 * =100 Note: 1988 trend from Gallup. 20. From what you saw or heard about this week's Republican Convention, is your opinion of the Republican Party more favorable or less favorable? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS More Less No change Didn't follow conv. DK Current Total 36 27 23 12 2 =100 Republicans 66 3 23 7 1 =100 Democrats 13 52 18 14 3 =100 Independents 29 27 29 13 2 =100 Trends 2004 Democratic Convention 41 24 22 9 4 =100 2000 Republican Convention 49 22 18 5 6 =100 2000 Democratic Convention 43 20 21 10 6 =100 1996 Republican Convention 40 27 22 8 3 =100 1992 Republican Convention 35 41 18 4 2 =100 1988 Republican Convention 43 26 20 3 8 =100 Note: 1988 trend from Gallup 21. Did you happen to watch all or part of George W. Bush's acceptance speech last night on live television? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS INTERVIEWED ON FRIDAY Yes No DK Current Total 45 53 2 =100 Trends 2004 - Kerry speech 51 49 * =100 2000 - Bush speech 49 50 1 =100 2000 - Gore speech 53 45 2 =100 1996 - Dole speech 46 54 * =100 22. From what you saw or heard about George W. Bush's acceptance speech, is your opinion of Bush more favorable or less favorable? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS INTERVIEWED ON FRIDAY More Less No change Didn't follow DK Current Total 37 18 22 22 1 =100 Republicans 61 2 17 18 2 =100 Democrats 10 37 23 28 2 =100 Independents 35 17 26 20 2 =100 Trends 2004 - Kerry speech 43 17 22 15 3 =100 2000 - Bush speech 47 11 18 18 6 =100 2000 - Gore speech 45 20 20 9 6 =100 1996 - Dole speech 35 21 22 17 5 =100 1992 - GHW Bush speech 39 35 16 7 3 =100 23a. Do you think the Republican Party is more conservative than the image it presented at this week's convention, OR that the party is NOT more conservative than the image it presented? 23b. Would you say the party is A LOT more conservative or ONLY somewhat more conservative? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS GOP Ideology vs. Image Presented Current 2000 1996 18 A lot more conservative 20 16 21 Somewhat more conservative 27 26 30 Not more conservative 30 33 31 Didn't follow/Don't know 23 25 100 100 100 24. Please tell me if each of the following things that happened at the convention this week makes you more likely or less likely to vote for Bush and Cheney in November, or if it doesn't make much difference either way. (First,) what about...(INSERT-READ AND RANDOMIZE) (Does this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Bush and Cheney, or does it not make much difference either way?) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS More Less No diff. Not aware DK a. Arizona Senator John McCain's speech on Monday Current Total 20 6 37 34 3 =100 Trend 2000 - McCain speech and endorsement 32 13 36 14 5 =100 b. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani's speech on Monday Current Total 24 8 33 32 3 =100 c. Laura Bush's speech on Tuesday Current Total 25 7 36 30 2 =100 Trends 2004 - Teresa Heinz Kerry speech 21 15 33 29 2 =100 2000 - Laura Bush speech 29 10 36 19 6 =100 d. California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger's speech on Tuesday Current Total 22 10 38 27 3 =100 e. The keynote speech by U.S. Senator Zell Miller, Democrat from Georgia, on Wednesday Current Total 21 14 30 31 4 =100 Republicans 39 6 27 25 3 =100 Democrats 7 23 34 31 5 =100 Independents 16 13 31 37 3 =100 Trend 2004 - Barack Obama DNC keynote speech 24 5 34 35 2 =100 f. Vice president Dick Cheney's acceptance speech on Wednesday Current Total 19 15 34 29 3 =100 Trends 2004 - Edwards speech 31 7 33 27 2 =100 2000 - Cheney speech 32 13 34 15 6 =100 ITEM G ASKED OF THOSE INTERVIEWED ON FRIDAY g. George W. Bush's acceptance speech on Thursday Current Total 30 10 27 30 3 =100 Republicans 52 1 22 22 3 =100 Democrats 9 23 32 32 4 =100 Independents 26 8 27 36 3 =100 Trends 2004 - Kerry speech 32 8 31 28 1 =100 2000 - Bush speech 37 7 30 21 5 =100 2000 - Gore speech 40 11 21 24 4 =100 25. Looking ahead to the next presidential campaign, please tell me which, if any, of the following Republicans you would like to see run for president in 2008. (First,) what about...(INSERT-READ AND RANDOMIZE) (Would you like him to run in 2008, or not?) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Yes No DK a. John McCain Current Total 48 36 16 =100 Republicans 47 39 14 =100 b. Rudy Giuliani Current Total 50 37 13 =100 Republicans 65 24 11 =100 c. Senate Majority leader Bill Frist Current Total 11 55 34 =100 Republicans 19 47 34 =100 d. Florida Governor Jeb Bush Current Total 15 66 19 =100 Republicans 28 49 23 =100 e. New York Governor George Pataki Current Total 15 55 30 =100 Republicans 13 52 35 =100 f. Arnold Schwarzenegger, if the Constitution were changed to allow foreign-born U.S. citizens to run Current Total 22 66 12 =100 Republicans 30 57 13 =100 END OF INTERVIEW. THANK RESPONDENT: That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your cooperation. SOURCE Newsweek Web Site: http://www.newsweek.msnbc.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- More news from PR Newswire... Issuers of news releases and not PR Newswire are solely responsible for the accuracy of the content. Terms and conditions, including restrictions on redistribution, apply. Copyright © 1996-2004 PR Newswire Association LLC. All Rights Reserved. A United Business Media company. |
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Sep 5th, 2004 07:48 AM | ||
Ronnie Raygun |
CONT. Strength of Support by Candidate Preference Bush/Cheney Kerry/Edwards Supporters Supporters Strength of Support Strong 74 62 Not Strong 26 38 100 100 Number of Interviews (541) (403) 2a/b. Suppose there were only two choices for president and vice president and you HAD TO CHOOSE between... (INSERT CHOICES AND ROTATE) George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, and John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats. If the election were held TODAY, who would you vote for? [IF DO NOT SUPPORT BUSH/CHENEY OR KERRY/EDWARDS, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward...Bush and Cheney, the Republicans or Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Two-Way Trial Heat Total Bush Total Kerry Undecided/Other /Cheney /Edwards Current Total 54 43 3 =100 Thursday interviews 52 46 2 =100 Friday interviews 56 40 4 =100 3. Next, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following people in politics. If I mention someone you had never heard of before this interview, just tell me. (First,) what about... (INSERT READ AND ROTATE ITEMS A & B FIRST; THEN READ AND ROTATE ITEMS C & D) (Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him?) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of DK a. George W. Bush Current RVs 55 40 * 5 =100 Trends - RVs (7/29-30/04) 48 48 0 4 =100 (7/8-9/04) 51 45 * 4 =100 (5/13-14/04) 46 46 0 8 =100 (4/8-9/04) 48 46 * 6 =100 (3/25-26/04) 51 44 0 5 =100 (3/18-19/04) 52 42 * 6 =100 (2/19-20/04) 49 47 * 4 =100 (2/24-25/00) 55 36 * 9 =100 (1/17-19/00) 66 26 * 8 =100 (10/21-24/99) 71 21 1 7 =100 b. John Kerry Current RVs 45 46 * 9 =100 Trends - RVs (7/29-30/04) 53 37 2 8 =100 (7/8-9/04) 52 36 3 9 =100 (5/13-14/04) 47 36 3 14 =100 (4/8-9/04) 51 34 3 12 =100 (3/25-26/04) 51 35 2 12 =100 (3/18-19/04) 51 36 3 10 =100 (2/19-20/04) 56 27 5 12 =100 (1/29-30/04) 57 24 5 14 =100 (1/22-23/04) 54 25 8 13 =100 (12/11-12/03) 33 34 16 17 =100 c. Dick Cheney Current RVs 50 40 1 9 =100 Trend - RVs (7/29-30/04) 43 46 2 9 =100 (7/8-9/04) 46 43 2 9 =100 (2/19-20/04) 44 44 3 9 =100 d. John Edwards Current RVs 46 33 5 16 =100 Trends - RVs (7/29-30/04) 52 28 6 14 =100 (7/8-9/04) 52 25 8 15 =100 (2/19-20/04) 52 19 11 18 =100 (1/29-30/04) 42 27 12 19 =100 (1/22-23/04) 46 23 14 17 =100 (12/11-12/03) 27 25 23 25 =100 4. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time? BASED ON TOTAL ADULTS Satisfied Dissatisfied DK Current Total 43 49 8 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 36 58 6 =100 (7/8-9/04) 40 54 6 =100 (5/13-14/04) Prisoner abuse scandal 30 62 8 =100 (4/8-9/04) 36 59 5 =100 (1/22-23/04) 43 52 5 =100 (1/8-9/04) 46 47 7 =100 (12/18-19/03) Saddam's capture 46 47 7 =100 (10/9-10/03) 40 54 6 =100 (4/03) Iraq War 50 41 9 =100 (9/02) 41 55 4 =100 (7/02) 46 46 8 =100 (9/01) Terrorist attacks 57 34 9 =100 (6/01) 43 52 5 =100 (3/01) 47 45 8 =100 (1/01) 55 41 4 =100 (6/00) 47 45 8 =100 (3/00) 56 36 8 =100 (8/99) 56 39 5 =100 (9/98) 54 42 4 =100 (1/97) 38 58 4 =100 (3/96) 28 70 2 =100 (6/95) 25 73 2 =100 (8/94) 24 71 5 =100 (6/92) Recession 14 84 2 =100 (3/91) Gulf War Victory 66 31 3 =100 (9/90) 37 58 5 =100 (9/88) 56 40 4 =100 (11/85) 51 46 3 =100 (12/81) Recession 27 67 6 =100 (7/79) Energy/Economic Crisis 12 84 4 =100 Note: Trends - 4/03, 9/02, 6/00-6/01 and 6/95-8/99 Pew Research Center; 7/79-6/92 Gallup. 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? BASED ON TOTAL ADULTS Approve Disapprove DK Current Total 52 41 7 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 45 49 6 =100 (7/8-9/04) 48 46 6 =100 (5/13-14/04) 42 52 6 =100 (4/8-9/04) 49 45 6 =100 (3/25-26/04) 49 45 6 =100 (3/18-19/04) 48 44 8 =100 (2/19-20/04) 48 44 8 =100 (2/5-6/04) 48 45 7 =100 (1/29-30/04) 49 44 7 =100 (1/22-23/04) 50 44 6 =100 (1/8-9/04) 54 41 5 =100 (12/18-19/03) 54 38 8 =100 (12/11-12/03) 51 42 7 =100 (11/6-7/03) 52 40 8 =100 (10/30-31/03) 51 39 10 =100 (10/23-24/03) 51 40 9 =100 (10/9-10/03) 51 42 7 =100 (9/25-26/03) 52 40 8 =100 (9/18-19/03) 51 42 7 =100 (9/11-12/03) 52 39 9 =100 (8/21-22/03) 53 36 11 =100 (7/24-25/03) 57 34 9 =100 (7/10-11/03) 55 37 8 =100 (5/29-30/03) 61 28 11 =100 (5/1-2/03) 65 26 9 =100 (4/10-11/03) 71 23 6 =100 (3/27-28/03) 68 26 6 =100 (3/13-14/03) 53 37 10 =100 (2/6-7/03) 61 31 8 =100 (1/23-24/03) 55 38 7 =100 (1/16-17/03) 56 33 11 =100 (11/7-8/02) 60 30 10 =100 (10/24-25/02) 61 29 10 =100 (10/11-12/02) 61 29 10 =100 (9/26-27/02) 65 27 8 =100 (9/12-13/02) 70 23 7 =100 (8/28-29/02) 61 30 9 =100 (6/27-28/02) 70 19 11 =100 (3/21-22/02) 74 16 10 =100 (1/31-2/1/02) 83 12 5 =100 (12/13-14/01) 81 11 8 =100 (10/25-26/01) 85 10 5 =100 (10/11-12/01) 88 8 4 =100 (9/20-21/01) 86 10 4 =100 (9/13-14/01) 82 11 7 =100 (8/25-9/5/01) 51 34 15 =100 (5/10-11/01) 50 31 19 =100 (2/15-16/01) 56 21 23 =100 Note: Full trendline from August 2002 to present; earlier trends selected. Bush approval figures for 8/25-9/5/01 from Pew Research Center. 6. In general, would you like to see George W. Bush re-elected to another term as president, or not? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Yes No DK Current Total 53 43 4 =100 Republican 93 5 2 =100 Democrat 14 82 4 =100 Independent 48 46 6 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 43 53 4 =100 (7/8-9/04) 43 52 5 =100 (5/13-14/04) 41 51 8 =100 (3/18-19/04) 46 50 4 =100 (2/19-20/04) 43 52 5 =100 (2/5-6/04) 45 50 5 =100 (1/29-30/04) 45 49 6 =100 (1/22-23/04) 44 52 4 =100 (1/8-9/04) 48 46 6 =100 (12/18-19/03) 46 46 8 =100 (12/11-12/03) 45 50 5 =100 (11/6-7/03) 44 50 6 =100 (10/30-31/03) 45 46 9 =100 (10/23-24/03) 46 47 7 =100 (10/9-10/03) 44 50 6 =100 (9/25-26/03) 46 47 7 =100 (9/18-19/03) 44 50 6 =100 (8/21-22/03) 44 49 7 =100 (7/24-25/03) 49 43 8 =100 (7/10-11/03) 47 46 7 =100 (5/1-2/03) 51 38 11 =100 (4/10-11/03) 52 38 10 =100 (11/7-8/02) 49 42 9 =100 7. If you could vote separately for VICE PRESIDENT, would you be more likely to vote for ... (ROTATE BY FORM) Dick Cheney, the Republican; or John Edwards, the Democrat? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Cheney Edwards Neither/Other DK Current Total 44 45 3 8 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 36 55 3 6 =100 (7/8-9/04) 41 52 2 5 =100 Note: Neither/Other is a volunteered response category. Questions 8 and 9 were asked in random order; in each question series, the order in which the items were read was rotated with item h in question 8 and items h-i in question 9 always asked last. 8. Please tell me whether or not you think each of the following phrases describes GEORGE W. BUSH. (First,) what about... (Does this describe Bush or not?) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Yes, describes No, does not DK a.Has strong leadership qualities Current Total 65 33 2 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 60 38 2 =100 (7/8-9/04) 67 31 2 =100 (1/22-23/04) 65 33 2 =100 (10/31-11/2/00) 59 33 8 =100 b.Is honest and ethical Current Total 62 33 5 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 54 40 6 =100 (7/8-9/04) 54 40 6 =100 (1/22-23/04) 57 38 5 =100 (10/31-11/2/00) 58 31 11 =100 c.Cares about people like you Current Total 53 43 4 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 44 51 5 =100 (7/8-9/04) 49 46 5 =100 (1/22-23/04) 48 48 4 =100 (10/31-11/2/00) 51 41 8 =100 d.Is personally likeable Current Total 67 29 4 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 62 34 4 =100 (7/8-9/04) 69 29 4 =100 (1/22-23/04) 67 28 5 =100 (10/31-11/2/00) 70 23 7 =100 e.Says what he believes, not just what people want to hear Current Total 66 29 5 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 58 35 7 =100 (7/8-9/04) 62 32 6 =100 (1/22-23/04) 63 32 5 =100 (10/31-11/2/00) 52 37 11 =100 f.Would trust him to make the right decisions during an international crisis Current Total 57 40 3 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 48 49 3 =100 (7/8-9/04) 56 40 4 =100 (1/22-23/04) 56 41 3 =100 g.Shares your values Current Total 54 41 5 =100 Trend (7/29-30/04) 48 48 4 =100 h.Is too conservative Current Total 32 61 7 =100 Trend (7/29-30/04) 37 56 7 =100 (7/8-9/04) 34 60 6 =100 9. Please tell me whether or not you think each of the following phrases describes JOHN KERRY. (First,) what about ... (Does this describe Kerry, or not?) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Yes, describes No, does not DK a.Has strong leadership qualities Current Total 47 41 12 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 58 31 11 =100 (7/8-9/04) 55 27 18 =100 (1/29-30/04) 62 17 21 =100 b.Is honest and ethical Current Total 47 39 14 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 58 28 14 =100 (7/8-9/04) 53 29 18 =100 (1/29-30/04) 58 14 28 =100 c.Cares about people like you Current Total 49 38 13 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 57 33 10 =100 (7/8-9/04) 52 32 16 =100 (1/29-30/04) 52 26 22 =100 d.Is personally likeable Current Total 59 33 8 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 67 25 8 =100 (7/8-9/04) 60 24 16 =100 (1/29-30/04) 67 13 20 =100 e.Says what he believes, not just what people want to hear Current Total 42 47 11 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 49 39 12 =100 (7/8-9/04) 45 38 17 =100 (1/29-30/04) 48 27 25 =100 f.Would trust him to make the right decisions during an international crisis Current Total 44 48 8 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 53 37 10 =100 (7/8-9/04) 46 36 18 =100 (1/29-30/04) 52 24 24 =100 g.Shares your values Current Total 42 48 10 =100 Trend (7/29-30/04) 50 41 9 =100 h. Is too liberal Current Total 45 43 12 =100 Trends (7/29-30/04) 40 50 10 =100 (7/8-9/04) 38 46 16 =100 (1/29-30/04) 32 45 23 =100 i.Is a war hero Current Total 48 31 21 =100 Trend (1/29-30/04) 46 19 35 =100 |
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Sep 5th, 2004 07:47 AM | ||
Ronnie Raygun |
***Bush up by 11 points in yet another poll*** (BNFL)!! http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/st...2244238&EDATE= Bush/Cheney Lead Kerry/Edwards 54 to 43 Percent; in a Three-Way Trial Heat, Bush/Cheney Receive 13-Point Margin Bounce Bush Approval Rating Rises to 52 Percent; First Time Above 50 Since January; Majority (53%) Wants to See Him Re-Elected-Highest Since May 2003 27 Percent of Registered Voters Think Bush/Cheney Campaign Is Behind Swift Boat Ads NEW YORK, Sept. 4 /PRNewswire/ -- Immediately following the Republican National Convention in New York, the latest Newsweek Poll shows that, in a two-way presidential trial heat, the Bush/Cheney ticket would win over a Kerry/Edwards ticket by 54 percent vs. 43 percent among registered voters. In a three-way trial heat, including Green Party Candidate Ralph Nader, the Bush/Cheney ticket would still win 52 percent to 41 percent for Kerry/Edwards and 3 percent for Nader/Camejo among registered voters. That represents a 13-point margin bounce for Bush/Cheney since an August 5-10 poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International for the Pew Research Center. And even though more Americans (49%) say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the U.S. at this time (43% are satisfied), President George W. Bush's approval rating has gone up to 52 percent, a seven-point increase since the last Newsweek Poll (July 29-30), and the first time it's topped 50 percent since January. Also 53 percent of registered voters say the would like to see President Bush re-elected to another term. The last time a majority of Americans wanted to see the president re-elected was May 2003. In comparing the two presidential candidates, more registered voters think President Bush has strong leadership qualities than Kerry (65% vs. 47%), is more honest and ethical (62% vs. 47%), says what he believes and not just what people want to hear (66% vs. 42%), would trust him to make the right decisions during an international crisis (57% vs. 44%), shares their values (54% vs. 42%), and is personally likeable (67% vs. 59%). In addition, more registered voters think President Bush would do a better job than Sen. Kerry on various issues: terrorism and homeland security (60% vs. 32%), the situation in Iraq (55% vs. 37%), foreign policy (54% vs. 38%), taxes (52% vs. 38%), economy (49% vs. 43%), education (48% vs. 42%), and gay marriage (44% vs. 36%). More people say Sen. Kerry would do a better job than President Bush on healthcare, including Medicare (45% vs. 43%) and the environment (50% vs. 36%). Two months before the election, more registered voters (28%) say terrorism and homeland security is the most important issue in determining their vote. Twenty-one percent say it's the economy, 13 percent say healthcare and only 11 percent say the situation in Iraq. On that subject, a majority of registered voters (55%) think that the U.S. did the right thing in talking military action in Iraq, though 50 percent say the war has not made Americans safer from terrorism (45% think it has). And, among registered voters, 44 percent think Saddam Hussein's regime was not directly involved in 9-11 (42% say it was). Despite the four-day convention, a strong 60-percent majority of registered voters say they saw none of (32%) or very little (28%) coverage of the RNC on television last week. Only 40 percent say they saw some of it (24%) or a great deal (16%). And only 36 percent say they now have a more favorable opinion of the Republican Party, with 27 percent saying they have a less favorable opinion. Of Independents, 29 percent said they have a more favorable opinion of the Republicans and 27 percent said less favorable. Following the Democratic convention in July, 41 percent who said they had a more favorable opinion of the Democrats. Only 24 percent said they had a less favorable opinion. And of the 45 percent of registered voters who said they watched all or part of the President's speech, 37 percent said they had a more favorable opinion of him, while 18 percent said it was less favorable. As to the presidential candidates' military service, though 75 percent of registered voters say what they've seen or heard about Bush's military service will not have much effect on their vote, and 62 percent say the same about Kerry's military service in Vietnam, 75 percent of registered voters have seen or heard about the recent TV Ads sponsored by a veterans' group questioning Kerry's military record. And 21 percent say those ads are generally accurate. Thirty-nine percent say they are misleading or distorted. Only 25 percent are not aware of those ads. Twenty-seven percent of registered voters think the Bush/Cheney campaign is behind the ads, while 38 percent think they were produced independently. (However, 26 percent of military households who have seen or heard about John Kerry's military record say they are less likely to vote for him). Looking ahead to the next presidential campaign, a majority of registered voters (50%) said they would like to see former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani run for president in 2008 (65% of Republicans), followed by Arizona Sen. John McCain (48%, 47% of Republicans), and Arnold Schwarzenegger (22%, 30% of Republicans), if the Constitution were changed to allow foreign-born U.S. citizens to run. This poll is part of the September 13 issue of Newsweek (on newsstands Monday, September 6). For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates International interviewed 1,008 adults aged 18 and older on Sept. 2-3, 2004. The margin of error is plus or minus four percentage points. (Read Newsweek's news releases at http://www.Newsweek.com. Click "Pressroom" at the bottom of the page.) Newsweek Poll: Post-Republican Convention, Princeton Survey Research Associates International Final Topline Results (9/4/04) N = 1,008 Registered Voters, 18 and over Margin of error: plus or minus 4 Interviewing dates: September 2-3, 2004 SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR TOTAL ADULTS: 1,188 Total adults (plus or minus 3) SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS: 1,008 Registered voters (plus or minus 4) 505 Thursday interviews (plus or minus 5) 503 Friday interviews (plus or minus 5) 374 Republicans (plus or minus 6) 303 Democrats (plus or minus 6) 300 Independents (plus or minus 6) 476 Men (plus or minus 5) 532 Women (plus or minus 5) 112 18-29 (plus or minus 10) 349 30-49 (plus or minus 6) 516 50+ (plus or minus 5) 283 Southern White (plus or minus 7) 559 Non-Southern White (plus or minus 5) 144 Non-White (plus or minus 8) 417 Military households (plus or minus 6) 578 Non-military households (plus or minus 5) 310 Republican states (plus or minus 6) 409 Swing states (plus or minus 6) 289 Democratic states (plus or minus 7) 541 Bush/Cheney supporters (plus or minus 5) 403 Kerry/Edward supporters (plus or minus 6) SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR SUBGROUPS OF REGISTERED VOTERS INTERVIEWED FRIDAY 187 Republicans (plus or minus 8) 139 Democrats (plus or minus 9) 165 Independents (plus or minus 8) NOTE: An asterisk (*) indicates a value less than 1%. **REGIONAL DEFINITIONS Republican states: AL, AK, CO, GA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, MS, MT, NE, NC, ND, OK, SC, SD, TX, UT, VA, WY Swing states: AZ, AR, FL, IA, ME, MI, MN, MO, NV, NH, NM, OH, OR, PA, TN, WA, WV, WI Democratic states: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, MD, MA, NJ, NY, RI, VT Results for questions 1a/b and 2a/b include leaners. 1a/b. Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president... (INSERT CHOICES AND ROTATE) George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the Independent or third party candidates. Who would you vote for? [IF DO NOT SUPPORT BUSH/CHENEY, KERRY/EDWARDS, OR NADER/CAMEJO RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward...Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Three-Way Trial Heat Total Bush Total Kerry Total Nader Undec./ /Cheney /Edwards /Camejo Other Current Total 52 41 3 4 =100 Thursday interviews 49 43 3 5 =100 Friday interviews 54 38 4 4 =100 Republicans 94 4 1 1 =100 Democrats 14 82 1 3 =100 Independents 45 40 9 6 =100 Men 54 39 4 3 =100 Women 50 43 2 5 =100 18-29 45 45 9 1 =100 30-49 56 37 3 4 =100 50+ 50 44 1 5 =100 Southern White 66 30 1 3 =100 Non-Southern White 51 41 4 4 =100 Non-White 34 56 4 6 =100 Military households 58 36 2 4 =100 Non-military households 48 43 4 5 =100 Republican states 56 37 2 5 =100 Swing states 51 42 3 4 =100 Democratic states 47 44 5 4 =100 Trends (8/5-10/04) 45 47 2 6 =100 (7/29-30/04) 42 49 3 6 =100 (7/8-9/04) 44 47 3 6 =100 (5/13-14/04) 42 43 5 10 =100 (4/8-9/04) 42 46 4 8 =100 (3/25-26/04) 45 43 5 7 =100 (3/18-19/04) 45 43 5 7 =100 Note: August 5-10, 2004 trend from Pew Research Center. July 29-30, 2004 poll conducted during the week of the Democratic National Convention and should not be used to estimate Bush's post-convention bounce. Trends before 7/8-9/04 based on slightly different question wording that did not include vice presidential candidates' names. 1c. Do you support (INSERT Q.1a CHOICE: Bush and Cheney/Kerry and Edwards/Nader and Camejo) STRONGLY or only moderately? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Candidate Preference/Strength of Support Total 8/5-10/04 7/29-30/04 7/8-9/04 5/13-14/04 4/8-9/04 Bush/Cheney Voters 39 Strong 32 30 31 24 28 13 Not Strong 13 12 13 18 14 Kerry/Edwards Voters 25 Strong 28 31 25 22 21 16 Not Strong 19 18 22 21 25 Nader/Camejo Voters 1 Strong 1 * 1 1 1 2 Not Strong 1 3 2 4 2 4 Undecided/Other 6 6 6 10 8 100 100 100 100 100 100 Note: August 5-10, 2004 trend from Pew Research Center. July 29-30, 2004 poll conducted during the week of the Democratic National Convention and should not be used to estimate Bush's post-convention bounce. Trends before 7/8-9/04 based on results that did not include vice presidential candidates. |