http://www.canada.com/national/natio...0-02e10103f2b3
Fear rips Canadian cattle industry as U.S. says latest mad cow Alberta-born
JUDY MONCHUK
Canadian Press
December 27, 2003
Chief Veterinary Officer Dr. Brian Evans answers questions during a press conference on Saturday in Ottawa after American officials raised the possibility that their first suspected case of BSE may have originated in Canada. (CP/Simon Hayter)
CALGARY (CP) - Cattle producers were hopeful Saturday that consumer confidence in the safety of Canada's beef would remain high after U.S. officials said the mad cow discovered in Washington state has been tentatively traced to an Alberta farm.
"It's going to be a horror story one way or another - there's no question," said Mac MacLean, who runs a 16,000-head feedlot operation near Lethbridge, Alta.
"Nobody wants this," said MacLean. "Anyone who says they're not concerned isn't being honest. But truly what the public has to know is that there's not one person in North America that has died of this disease."
Neil Jahnke of the Canadian Cattlemen's Association says the new case will obviously hurt the industry, which had been hoping the U.S. border would reopen to young Canadian cattle early in 2004.
"I'm hopeful there won't be long-term repercussions," said Jahnke.
Consumers are better informed about bovine spongiform encephalopathy, the scientific name for mad cow disease, since the brain-wasting disease was discovered in a northern Alberta breeder cow in May, Jahnke added.
While industry officials appealed for patience, others worry that this latest case could shut down borders that were just starting to open up to Canadian beef.
Cattle buyer Will Irvine says this is the worst possible news for a shattered industry.
"If this cow is proven to come out of Canada, we're toast," said Irvine of the Calgary Stockyards.
"Where are we going to go? Our only hope up to now was that we could pick up some of the markets the U.S. exported to," he said. "Without that, we're ruined. This industry will not survive."
The Americans are acutely aware of the potential damage. Roughly 90 per cent of the U.S. export market has been lost since Dec. 23 when American agriculture officials announced a Washington cow had tested positive for mad cow.
Canada's beef industry has lost more than $1.9 billion in exports alone since May, when more than 30 countries immediately slammed their borders to Canadian beef. Those restrictions have only recently begun to be lifted, mostly to cuts of boneless beef from animals under 30 months believed at low-risk of contracting the disease.
The U.S. picked up most of that business, with exports soaring 17 per cent after world markets shunned Canadian beef.
Ted Haney of the Canada Beef Export Federation says even if this latest animal is proven to come from Canada, it will not have a major impact on opening international borders.
"May there be a month or two delay? Yes. Will there be a year or two delay? No," he said.
Canada's chief veterinarian said it's premature to tag Alberta as the source of the mad cow found in Washington state, noting there are serious discrepancies over the age of the animal involved.
American officials originally said the infected animal was 4½ years old. But the ear tag identification linking the cow to an Alberta herd is for an animal born in April 1997 - making it 6½ years old.
"No ear tag is tamper-proof, ear tags can be removed and reapplied, but again, we're not intimating that that in fact is the circumstance here," said Dr. Brian Evans, Canada's lead investigator with the Canadian Food Inspection Agency.
"What we're suggesting is that we need to verify, using scientific methods such as DNA, that the animal that left Canada with that ear tag is in fact the animal that the U.S. is pursuing at this point."
Evans said the identification comes from a former dairy operation north of Edmonton. He would not name the farmer because the connection has not been verified. The herd no longer exists.
There is no connection between the infected Holstein dairy cow and the northern Alberta breeder cow which was found to have the brain-wasting disease in May.
Haney said the possibility of Canada having other cases of mad cow have been discussed with foreign market regulators since the beginning of the crisis seven months ago. Canada has an estimated 15 million cattle and minimal risk for BSE is described as fewer than one positive case per million.
"That would allow us to have up to 12 positives, possibly 15 positives, in our national herd before we would lose our minimum risk status and we don't expect anything like that," said Haney.
"There may be one or two more, but this does not fundamentally change the basis on which the market access negotiations have taken place."
More than half of Canada's cattle are in Alberta, where industry officials were hopeful that sound science would be the determining factor in border closures. But Arno Doerksen of the Alberta Beef Producers acknowledged it was a scary time.
"There's no doubt that this creates a level of uncertainty and sure, that sends a chill through all of us," said Doerksen.
"But I think we need to take a measured approach to this. It's preliminary at this point... We simply need to keep our heads about this and not overreact."
Jahnke said even with a second positive test for mad cow, it is minuscule compared with the 200,000 cattle in Great Britain which tested positive for the brain-wasting disease in the 1980s during the mad cow scare.
"In North America, where we have more cattle than they have, we've had two," said Jahnke. "I think it's amazing that they've been able to find those two and I'm very proud of our inspection services and the surveillance they to make sure these animals don't get into the food chain."
Provincial officials in Alberta will offer to help Americans nail down the origin of the infected cow, said Agriculture Minister Shirley McClellan.
"We have an excellent system, as you know from our own experience, of trace-out and trace-back, very good records, and when an animal crosses the border, that's even stricter records," McClellan said from her home in New Brigden, Alta.
McClellan wasn't sure what effect the latest news would have on the border reopening.
Alberta Premier Ralph Klein could not be reached for comment.
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Canada hasn't denied anything because there isn't enough information to say one way or the other. If we deny it, and it turns out to be true, everyone says, "Look at the silly Canadians!" If we deny it and end up being right, everyone says, "Oooh! The Canadians are acting all smug! Look at how tough they are!"
It's easier to just wait for more info, and it will be interesting to see if US officials give in to the requests for a much more detailed analysis. All the US media appears to be saying that the cow definitely came from here, but there isn't really any conclusive proof.
Next you'll think we have WMD.